Future-proof your aviation business

The COVID-19 crisis taught us that the world can quickly change. It’s still uncertain how the ongoing effects of COVID-19 will continue to impact politics, the economy, and the evolving future of air passenger transportation.

In the short term, we saw the pandemic make a profound impact on the overall number of airline passengers. We are hopeful 2021 will continue to bring positive changes to the industry, and with that an increase in airline passenger transportation. However, it won’t be until 2023 that passenger numbers are expected to reach pre-COVID-19 levels.

In the long term, it is essential that your strategic planning remains sound. You need to continually re-evaluate it in the light of current changes. That is a massive job that requires big data and specific expertise. IATA’s 20-year Air Passenger Forecast makes it easy for you.

We are here to help! IATA’s 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast makes it easy to compile industry data and expertise to help you make informed decisions for your organization. As an airline, airport, government agency, tourism-industry company, or firm financing aviation initiatives, you need to understand how air passenger traffic will evolve in the short term during the industry restart and over the long term, and how current political and economic trends can positively or adversely affect growth rates. IATA analyzes the fundamental drivers of air travel demand to identify the major traffic trends for the next 20 years, including different scenarios, to provide valuable input for your long-term strategic decision-making.

IATA Chief Economist: latest edition of the 20 Year Forecast

Obtain expert insight into aviation’s future

IATA 20-year Air Passenger Forecast gives you the figures, predictions and scenarios you need to:

  • See how the industry is expected to recover from the COVID-induced crisis over the next two decades
  • Explore alternative scenarios based on the evolution of demand after the pandemic
  • Obtain expert insight into possible futures as well as forecast figures

The latest update of the 20-Year Passenger Forecast incorporate a sharp impact from COVID-19 followed by a gradual recovery thereafter. Domestic and short-haul markets will recover faster, with long-haul travel being the last to return to 2019 levels of demand. The industry's center of gravity will continue its shift towards Asia as emerging markets in the region are expected to see fast-paced growth in the coming decades. 

Click to see full 20 year forecast infographic.

20 year forecast

  • Plan and adjust investments in infrastructure – Our figures and predictions are updated twice a year to help you stay on the right track.
  • Lend expert support to financing requests – Show your investors a 360° view of the future of the industry.

The IATA 20-year Air Passenger Forecast predicts passenger demand by looking at such factors as the emerging middle class in developing countries, diverging demographic outlooks, further liberalization of aviation markets, and climate change.

  • Forecasted growth rates – Adjust your models and scenarios for the very long term.
  • Alternative future scenarios – Take into account all eventualities with our provided scenarios, and obtain bespoke scenarios on demand (please contact us).
  • Bi-annual updates – Ensure you’re working from the latest information with updates every April and October.
  • Multiple formats available – Choose from the options below to meet your information needs.

Download sample reports and a customer story featuring the Boston Consulting Group on how they used the IATA 20-year Air Passenger Forecast. Just fill out this form.

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Passenger Forecast - Full Package

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast with country-pair granularity (4,000 country pairs);
  • Global Report;
  • Individual Country Reports.

Passenger Forecast - Webtool and Global Report

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast with country-pair granularity (4,000 country pairs);
  • Global Report.

Passenger Forecast Global Webtool Subscription

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast with country-pair granularity (4,000 country pairs).

Passenger Forecast - Regional Coverage

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast for a region of your choice;
  • Global Report;
  • Individual Country Reports included in the region.

Passenger Forecast - Country Coverage

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast for a country of your choice.

Passenger Forecast - One off Global Data - 2021-11

  • Global data extraction in excel format

Passenger Forecast - One off Regional data - 2021-11

  • Regional data extraction in excel format

Passenger Forecast - One off Country data - 2021-11

  • Country data extraction in excel format

Passenger Forecast - Global Report - 2021-11

  • Edition November 2021

Passenger Forecast - Country Reports - 2021-11 (Excel)

  • The Passenger Forecast individual country reports provide supplementary analysis and data on air travel markets

Passenger Forecast - Country Reports - 2021-11 (PDF)

  • The Passenger Forecast individual country reports provide supplementary analysis and data on air travel markets