The COVID-19 crisis taught us that the world can quickly change. There are many moving parts surrounding the evolution of the pandemic, the reactions of policy makers, the economy and the behaviour of travellers. In the near term, there is uncertainty on the recovery path, which aviation markets will recover when, and where travel may remain constrained. In the longer term, risks surrounding changing consumers habits, demographics and living standards, among others, will impact your strategic planning. Tracking the short term recovery and long term aviation trends requires big data and specific expertise. All that is made easier by the IATA 20-year Air Passenger Forecast.

What is the 20-Year Passenger Forecast?


The IATA 20-Year Passenger Forecast combines extensive historical data with forecasts on the key drivers of air travel, and expertise on crucial risks and trends from leading aviation experts, into a single easy-to-use data package. As an airline, airport, government agency, tourism-industry company, or firm financing aviation initiatives, you need to understand the evolution of air passenger traffic on your market and time horizon of interest. As a result, the IATA 20-Year Forecast is the industry reference to obtain expert insight into possible futures as well as forecast figures.

What's inside the 20-Year Passenger Forecast?


The IATA 20-Year Passenger Forecast predicts passenger demand by looking at such factors as the emerging middle class in developing countries, diverging demographic outlooks, further liberalization of aviation markets, and climate change. The forecast covers 4,000 country pairs, as well as most countries and regions and a global aggregate. Three scenariors are provided, in order to capture some of uncertainty in the key drivers and trends. Several traffic metrics are available, as well as forecasts on many of the main drivers of air travel demand. We are positive this can provide valuable input for your near-term planning and long-term strategic decision-making.

  • Forecast growth-rates - Adject your models and scenarios for the very long term.
  • Alternative future scenarios - Take into account all eventualities with our provided scenarios, and obtain bespoke scenarios on demand (please contact us).
  • Bi-annual updates - Ensure you're working from the latest information with updates every April and October.
  • Multiple formats available- Choose from the options below to meet your information needs.

Sample reports and customer story
Complete this form to discover the 20-year Forecast first-hand by downloading sample reports and get insights from a customer story featuring the Boston Consulting Group on how they used the forecast.

On-demand webinar on 2022 passenger forecast 
Watch this webinar and learn how recent geopolitical developments and COVID-19 are impacting the air passenger forecast.

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Passenger Forecast - Full Package

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast with country-pair granularity (4,000 country pairs);
  • Global Report;
  • Individual Country Reports.

Passenger Forecast - Webtool and Global Report

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast with country-pair granularity (4,000 country pairs);
  • Global Report.

Passenger Forecast Global Webtool Subscription

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast with country-pair granularity (4,000 country pairs).

Passenger Forecast - Regional Coverage

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast for a region of your choice;
  • Global Report;
  • Individual Country Reports included in the region.

Passenger Forecast - Country Coverage

  • 12-month access to an online database offering the 20-Year Air Passenger Forecast for a country of your choice.

Passenger Forecast - One off Global Data - 2022-02

  • Global data extraction in excel format

Passenger Forecast - One off Regional data - 2022-02

  • Regional data extraction in excel format

Passenger Forecast - One off Country data - 2022-02

  • Country data extraction in excel format

Passenger Forecast - Global Report - 2022-02

  • Edition February 2022

Passenger Forecast - Country Reports - 2022-02 (Excel)

  • The Passenger Forecast individual country reports provide supplementary analysis and data on air travel markets

Passenger Forecast - Country Reports - 2022-02 (PDF)

  • The Passenger Forecast individual country reports provide supplementary analysis and data on air travel markets